Sources in context.
Source material, dates and attribution help establish what an assessment rests on and where its limits lie.
ORIELby Curia Orientis
Evidence in context.
Oriel is being developed within Curia Orientis to organise regional sources, assessments and forecasts in support of our work.
Connected questions.
People, institutions, companies and events can be examined together within a regional context.
Judgment over time.
Assessments and forecasts can be revisited as evidence develops, preserving the distinction between an earlier view and a later conclusion.
The assessment framework
SINEW
SINEW structures the questions behind an assessment. Its five domains connect the integrity of the information to the implications for a decision.
- Source and access integrity
- Where does the material come from, how was it obtained, and can its origin be traced?
- Intent and identity logic
- Who is the actor, what has been observed, and what remains a hypothesis?
- National and network constraints
- Which institutions, coalitions, dependencies and capacities enable or limit action?
- Evidence and expectations
- What can the evidence establish, what contradicts it, and what should be observable?
- Warning, decision and learning
- Which developments matter to the decision, and what can the eventual outcome teach?
Development and access
Selective access.
Access to Oriel is granted very selectively and only to existing Curia Orientis clients.
Oriel remains in active development. Coverage and available functions vary by market.
Existing clients should use their established Curia Orientis contact for access enquiries.